Prediction of Sunflower Production in the Republic of Serbia

Nedeljković, Miroslav and Subić, Jonel and Prodanović, Radivoj (2022) Prediction of Sunflower Production in the Republic of Serbia. In: XIII International Scientific Symposium “AgroSym 2022”. Faculty of Agriculture, East Sarajevo, pp. 1265-1270. ISBN 978-99976-987-3-5

Text Nedeljković, Subić, Prodanović - AgroSym 2022.pdf - Published Version Available under License Creative Commons Attribution Non-commercial No Derivatives. Download (714kB)

Abstract

The paper, using a quantitative research method, aimed to create an adequate model for predicting the production parameters of sunflower in the Republic of Serbia in the next three years. The selected trend model was used for that, and the analyzed seventeen-year series of data ranged from 2005 to 2021. The results of research obtained using three measures of accuracy of trend selection (Mean Absolute Percentage Error, Mean Absolute Deviation, Mean Squared Deviation) show that all three observed parameters of sunflower have a positive tendency to grow with greater oscillations in production. The results of the research can serve the purpose of making rational strategic decisions in the future when it comes to the production of this oilseed.

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